Ruto Leads Preferred Presidential Candidates in Latest Infotrak Poll

President William Ruto would win the presidency if elections were held today, according to a new end-of-year opinion poll by research firm Infotrak.

The survey, released on Sunday, December 28, shows that 28 per cent of Kenyans surveyed would vote to re-elect President Ruto. Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Dr Fred Matiang’i came second with 13 per cent support, while Wiper Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka followed closely at 12 per cent.

Embakasi East MP Babu Owino received seven per cent support, while former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua was preferred by five per cent of respondents. People’s Liberation Party leader Martha Karua and former Chief Justice David Maraga each recorded two per cent.

However, the poll shows that many voters are still undecided. About 25 per cent of those surveyed said they had not chosen a preferred presidential candidate, while four per cent declined to state their choice.

On political formations, 32 per cent of respondents said they feel closest to the broad-based government led by President Ruto. The United Opposition coalition, associated with Rigathi Gachagua, Martha Karua, Kalonzo Musyoka and Eugene Wamalwa, was supported by 22 per cent.

Another 17 per cent said they align with the Kenya Moja alliance led by Trans Nzoia Governor George Natembeya, Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna, and MPs Babu Owino, Gathoni Wamuchomba and Ndindi Nyoro. Meanwhile, 29 per cent said they do not identify with any of the three political formations.

In terms of political parties, the ruling United Democratic Alliance (UDA) emerged as the most preferred party at 23 per cent, followed by the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) at 19 per cent. The newly launched Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP) led by Rigathi Gachagua recorded six per cent support, while Jubilee Party stood at five per cent. The Wiper Patriotic Front had four per cent.

The Infotrak survey was conducted between December 19 and 20, 2025, with a sample of 1,000 respondents drawn from all 47 counties across Kenya’s eight regions.

Meanwhile, a separate recent poll by research firm TIFA paints a slightly different picture on party popularity. According to TIFA, ODM is currently Kenya’s most popular party with 20 per cent support, narrowly ahead of UDA at 16 per cent.

The TIFA survey notes that support for both major parties has declined compared to levels seen after the 2022 General Election. It also found that voter loyalty is shifting, with many Kenyans changing their party preferences.

TIFA further observed that no single party has a strong and stable support base, making the political landscape increasingly fluid ahead of upcoming by-elections and the 2027 General Election. The survey showed that when coalitions are considered, parties aligned to the broad-based government account for about 44 per cent of the adult population.