Brazil is voting today, and the prediction markets have a clear favorite: Flavio Bolsonaro. On Polymarket, the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro sits at about 63% odds of winning. President Lula sits at about 37%. That gap looks huge. It is not a poll. Prediction markets are banned in Brazil, and they measure money placed on outcomes, not a scientific sample of voters. The final traditional polls showed a statistical tie between Lula and Flavio. So the 63% is a betting line, not a verdict from the electorate. The candidates could hardly be more different. Lula is the left-wing…
Author: Oki Bin Oki
Linda Mwananchi luminary Senator Edwin Sifuna formally launched the Equitable Party of Kenya, positioning the outfit as a new political vehicle for citizens seeking what he described as constitutional governance, accountability and equitable development ahead of the 2027 General Election. Speaking during the party’s launch, Sifuna said the formation of the new political outfit marked a new chapter in Kenya’s democratic journey and would provide a platform for citizens dissatisfied with the country’s current political direction. He said the party had emerged after efforts to retain the movement within its previous political home failed, accusing unnamed forces of capturing the…
Yemen’s Saudi-backed government has announced a major military operation to retake territory from the Iran-backed Houthis. It comes after an exchange of strikes between the Houthis and the Saudi-led coalition in recent days. On Sunday, the Houthis said they had struck sites belonging to Saudi national oil company Aramco. The group said the attack was in response to what it described as 50 Saudi-led coalition air and missile strikes in Yemen in 12 hours. Saudi Arabia has yet to comment. The conflict escalated in September, when the Houthis seized the country’s entire Red Sea coast, including the vital shipping lane…
Karan Patel ended the 2026 FIA African Rally Championship (ARC) season on a high, sealing his third career continental title with a perfect four-from-four winning record at the 2026 ARC Serengeti Rally of Tanzania. Karan, navigated by Tauseef Khan in a Skoda Fabia Rally2, won in Tanzania on Sunday to add to his earlier victories at the Safari Rally Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda. He sealed the title before the start of Tanzanian leg following the withdrawal of compatriot Aakif Virani, who was the only driver with an outside mathematical chance. KCB Racing team’s Karan (2022, 2023, 2026) becomes only the…
A 17-year-old boy died after allegedly being attacked and stabbed by a group of youths in Kuria East, Migori County. The deceased was attacked on Saturday evening, October 3, 2026, before being rushed to Getende Nursing Home for treatment. According to police, the boy’s uncle received information at around 7pm that his nephew had been attacked and taken to the health facility. On arriving at Getende Nursing Home, the uncle was informed that the teenager had been referred to Kegonga Sub-County Hospital for further treatment. However, the teenager succumbed to his injuries while at the facility. Police officers led by…
Rebel forces in Ethiopia’s northern Tigray region have said they have temporarily withdrawn from the regional capital, Mekelle, as fighting with the national army moves towards the city. The Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), which has been running the region, said its decision to relocate was made because of concerns about risks to civilians. Two residents in Mekelle told the BBC that pro-government forces now control the city and TPLF forces have abandoned it. One resident also said mobile phone services appear to have resumed in parts of the city. Fighting has erupted in recent weeks between the TPLF and…
A three-year-old boy drowned after accidentally falling into a fish pond at his family home in Mbukoli Village, Nembure Sub-County, Embu County. The incident occurred on Saturday, October 3, 2026, at around 2:30pm, according to a police report filed at Nembure Police Station. Police said the boy was playing beside the fish pond when he accidentally fell into the water and drowned. His father reported the incident to police after the boy was rescued and rushed to Nembure Health Centre. However, medical personnel pronounced him dead on arrival. Officers from Nembure Police Station, led by the Officer Commanding Station (OCS),…
A 40-year-old parking attendant died after he was allegedly overpowered and fatally injured during a fight over parking fees in Kianjaro area of Shimanzi, Mombasa County. The deceased, identified as Evans Odhiambo, was involved in a disagreement with a fellow parking attendant over payment of a parking fee for a trailer at around 12:10am on Sunday, October 4, 2026. According to police the disagreement escalated into a physical confrontation during which Bora allegedly overpowered Odhiambo. Odhiambo fell to the ground and died at the scene. Police officers from Makupa Police Station and DCI Urban visited and processed the scene. The…
France will step up its support for efforts to eradicate Ebola in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo, Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot said on Saturday during a visit to a region hit by the virus, warning that it could quickly resurge if vigilance waned. Barrot made rare trip by a Western leader to the northeastern Congolese city of Bunia, where a laboratory-confirmed case of mpox was identified in mid-September. France allocated €13.4 million ($15.1 million) to the fight against Ebola between January and July. Barrot said he would propose additional humanitarian funding for Ebola during upcoming French budget discussions. France’s response…
Ethiopia’s federal military has recaptured the main airport in the capital of the northern Tigray region, three sources said on Saturday, dealing a major setback to an opposition alliance in its stronghold. Clashes pitting a rebel alliance led by Tigray’s ruling party against the government and its allied forces broke out in northern Ethiopia last week, in the most serious escalation of violence since a 2020-2022 civil war. The fighting has stoked fears that it could escalate into a wider regional conflict, potentially drawing in neighbouring countries in the Horn of Africa and the Gulf. The federal government in Addis…
A man was found shot dead in a UK tradesman’s van carrying irregular migrants parked in a rest stop along a northern French motorway, officials said Saturday. The vehicle was found on Friday, around 30 kilometres (20 miles) north of the city of Troyes, which is located southeast of Paris and around 300 kilometres from the Channel, according to the local prosecutor’s office. A suspect “believed to have been present at the crime scene” was arrested early Friday, Troyes’s prosecutor Isabelle Verissimo said. The body of the 47-year-old man was discovered around 5:00 am (0300 GMT) with “a gunshot wound…
The president of Cornell University voiced support Saturday for an external review of the institution facing widespread outcry over the alleged gang rape of a student in 2024. “In conjunction with our board of trustees, I welcome the independent review by an outside law firm into all aspects of Cornell’s handling of the 2024 matter,” President Michael Kotlikoff said in a video shared on Cornell’s website. The incident was detailed in a graphic lawsuit filed last month, drawing harsh backlash against the Ivy League institution and New York prosecutors for not filing any criminal charges against the accused perpetrators. The…
A 20-year-old US Marine stationed on Japan’s southern island of Okinawa was arrested on suspicion of the murder of a Japanese woman, police said on Sunday. The suspect “killed the 39-year-old woman at a hotel in Naha and stole her wallet on Saturday,” a local police spokesman told AFP. US Ambassador George Glass posted on social media that he had spoken with Japan’s foreign ministry and Okinawa’s governor to offer “our sincere condolences and pledging full cooperation as the investigation continues”. Public broadcaster NHK and other Japanese media outlets, citing investigation sources, reported that CCTV footage from near the scene…
President Donald Trump railed against Sen. Tom Cotton in a series of posts on Saturday, accusing the Arkansas Republican of holding up a bill that would make Daylight Saving Timepermanent and encouraging people to call the senator at his cellphone number. “Everybody in Arkansas, Tom Cotton, a friend of mine, is holding up a very important Bill. It’s called, ‘The Sunshine Protection Act’ or, ‘We Don’t Want to Change Our Clocks Twice a Year Act,’” Trump posted on Truth Social. “To the Great People of Arkansas, please let your Senator know it would be a GREAT Bipartisan WIN for the…
President Donald Trump said Americans should cast their ballot using “every appropriate tool,” in a pre-recorded video imploring Republicans to vote in the midterm elections, including using methods that he has historically opposed like early and mail voting. “If your state has early voting, do not wait. Go out and vote,” Trump said in the video posted Saturday morning to his Truth Social account. “Vote early, vote by mail, or vote in person on Election Day.” Trump’s message is notable because he has criticized mail-in voting for years and pushed to limit it since the start of his second term,…