A national Presidential survey conducted on 16 to 19 July indicates that the President, Uhuru Kenyatta will bag the country’s top seat in the first round.
The survey shows Uhuru ahead by 54.7% and NASA’s Raila Odinga coming in second with 44.3%
54 per cent of the respondents were male and 46 per cent females. They were interviewed in their respective constituencies and were sure of casting their votes.
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According to the survey, Uhuru will manage at least 25% of the votes in more than half of the counties apart from Kisumu, Migori, Siaya and Homabay.
Raila who was rated at 45.2% in the previous survey is currently rated at 44.3% having lost 0.9 points.
His lose has been attributed to continued to his team’s continued waste of time and resources campaigning in Regions where they enjoy overwhelming support like Nairobi, Siaya, campaigning in Uhuru’s strongholds which he has not swayed.
Uhuru has also gained support in Kalenjin dominated Counties except Kericho and
Bomet.
Read: Strongly Worded Letter Raila’s New Campaign Manager Sent to British Envoy
Raila is apparently still the most preferred candidate in Ukambani with a rating of 67% compared to Uhuru’s 32%.
NASA enjoys voter backing in Western Kenya with the former Prime Minister being backed by 51% of the regions voter while Kenyatta gets 49%.
Should NASA conduct serious campaigns in Kisii, Narok, Nyamira, Kajiado, Bomet, Kericho, Kitui, Machakos, Makueni, Vihiga, Kakamega, Busia, Bungoma and Trans Nzoia Counties
especially on the last seven days of the campaign period, then the presidential hopeful could be assured of a first round win, the survey has recommended.
Statistically, if Raila can manage over 80% in Kitui, Machakos, Makueni, Vihiga,
Kakamega, Busia, Bungoma as was in 2013, then he can beat Kenyatta.
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